Minority Report

Sapulpa, OK — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Creek County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 66°   Low 42°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—34°1%
US model (GFS)66°43°0%
European model (ECMWF)64°46°0%
German model (ICON)65°44°0%
Canadian model (GEM)67°44°0%
The average66°42°0%

Friday, November 13

High 53°   Low 35°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°32°0%
US model (GFS)53°38°0%
European model (ECMWF)52°39°0%
German model (ICON)52°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)53°34°0%
The average53°35°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 56°   Low 33°   Rain 20%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 32 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 39% against a group average of 20%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°38°39%
US model (GFS)57°33°7%
European model (ECMWF)54°36°16%
German model (ICON)57°29°15%
Canadian model (GEM)56°29°25%
The average56°33°20%

Sunday, November 15

High 46°   Low 40°   Rain 72%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 34 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 90% against a group average of 72%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°37°75%
US model (GFS)49°41°72%
European model (ECMWF)47°43°66%
German model (ICON)46°41°56%
Canadian model (GEM)42°39°90%
The average46°40°72%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.