Sarasota, FL — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Sarasota County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
← All cities and the scoreboard
High 77° Low 68° Rain 17%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 26 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 66° | 24% |
| US model (GFS) | 76° | 66° | 9% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 78° | 70° | 31% |
| German model (ICON) | 78° | 69° | 5% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 77° | 69° | 14% |
| The average | 77° | 68° | 17% |
High 74° Low 62° Rain 22%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 65 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 75° | 54° | 2% |
| US model (GFS) | 71° | 61° | 26% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 76° | 66° | 67% |
| German model (ICON) | 72° | 63° | 3% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 74° | 64° | 11% |
| The average | 74° | 62° | 22% |
High 66° Low 50° Rain 0%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 66° | 50° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 65° | 48° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 69° | 53° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 63° | 49° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 64° | 50° | 0% |
| The average | 66° | 50° | 0% |
High 73° Low 52° Rain 0%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 74° | 59° | 1% |
| US model (GFS) | 73° | 53° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 73° | 51° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 72° | 48° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 73° | 48° | 0% |
| The average | 73° | 52° | 0% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.