Minority Report

Sarita, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Kenedy County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 79°   Low 59°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—53°0%
US model (GFS)77°62°1%
European model (ECMWF)80°61°0%
German model (ICON)78°61°0%
Canadian model (GEM)80°59°0%
The average79°59°0%

Friday, November 13

High 77°   Low 54°   Rain 4%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 20 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 20% against a group average of 4%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service77°57°20%
US model (GFS)74°55°1%
European model (ECMWF)78°55°0%
German model (ICON)76°54°0%
Canadian model (GEM)79°50°0%
The average77°54°4%

Saturday, November 14

High 78°   Low 63°   Rain 42%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 18 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 52% against a group average of 42%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service76°65°39%
US model (GFS)74°61°52%
European model (ECMWF)80°63°35%
German model (ICON)76°64°50%
Canadian model (GEM)82°62°34%
The average78°63°42%

Sunday, November 15

High 82°   Low 68°   Rain 53%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 50 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 86% against a group average of 53%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service81°60°36%
US model (GFS)80°71°43%
European model (ECMWF)84°64°86%
German model (ICON)79°71°45%
Canadian model (GEM)87°71°57%
The average82°68°53%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.