Minority Report

Sault Ste. Marie, MI — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Chippewa County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 39°   Low 32°   Rain 50%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 55 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 18% against a group average of 50%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—32°18%
US model (GFS)40°32°35%
European model (ECMWF)40°33°73%
German model (ICON)38°32°53%
Canadian model (GEM)38°31°71%
The average39°32°50%

Friday, November 13

High 38°   Low 32°   Rain 15%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 27 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 29% against a group average of 15%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service38°33°29%
US model (GFS)37°32°17%
European model (ECMWF)39°32°2%
German model (ICON)37°31°8%
Canadian model (GEM)39°31°19%
The average38°32°15%

Saturday, November 14

High 40°   Low 32°   Rain 6%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 14 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service40°31°1%
US model (GFS)41°32°6%
European model (ECMWF)39°34°0%
German model (ICON)39°34°8%
Canadian model (GEM)40°31°14%
The average40°32°6%

Sunday, November 15

High 41°   Low 31°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service41°30°0%
US model (GFS)41°31°0%
European model (ECMWF)42°33°0%
German model (ICON)42°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)41°28°0%
The average41°31°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.