Minority Report

Sayre, OK — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Beckham County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 75°   Low 42°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—37°0%
US model (GFS)77°41°0%
European model (ECMWF)77°48°0%
German model (ICON)73°43°0%
Canadian model (GEM)74°43°0%
The average75°42°0%

Friday, November 13

High 59°   Low 40°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service59°38°0%
US model (GFS)60°41°0%
European model (ECMWF)59°43°0%
German model (ICON)57°40°0%
Canadian model (GEM)60°41°0%
The average59°40°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 53°   Low 40°   Rain 95%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 9 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°39°98%
US model (GFS)52°36°89%
European model (ECMWF)51°44°98%
German model (ICON)53°42°94%
Canadian model (GEM)53°41°96%
The average53°40°95%

Sunday, November 15

High 46°   Low 40°   Rain 91%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 30 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 70% against a group average of 91%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°35°70%
US model (GFS)48°42°94%
European model (ECMWF)45°42°100%
German model (ICON)45°42°95%
Canadian model (GEM)43°38°95%
The average46°40°91%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.