Minority Report

Schenectady, NY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Schenectady County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 44°   Low 35°   Rain 100%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—31°99%
US model (GFS)43°36°100%
European model (ECMWF)45°36°100%
German model (ICON)45°35°100%
Canadian model (GEM)44°37°100%
The average44°35°100%

Friday, November 13

High 40°   Low 33°   Rain 92%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 33 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 67% against a group average of 92%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service40°30°67%
US model (GFS)40°34°95%
European model (ECMWF)41°34°100%
German model (ICON)40°34°100%
Canadian model (GEM)40°31°100%
The average40°33°92%

Saturday, November 14

High 42°   Low 32°   Rain 9%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 8 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service42°31°4%
US model (GFS)42°33°11%
European model (ECMWF)42°33°12%
German model (ICON)43°34°10%
Canadian model (GEM)41°31°10%
The average42°32°9%

Sunday, November 15

High 45°   Low 34°   Rain 5%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 11 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°29°6%
US model (GFS)44°35°11%
European model (ECMWF)46°37°8%
German model (ICON)44°36°0%
Canadian model (GEM)44°35°0%
The average45°34°5%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.