Schoharie, NY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Schoharie County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 44° Low 34° Rain 99%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 3 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 30° | 97% |
| US model (GFS) | 43° | 35° | 100% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 44° | 35° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 44° | 34° | 100% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 44° | 34° | 100% |
| The average | 44° | 34° | 99% |
High 37° Low 31° Rain 94%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 27 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 38° | 27° | 73% |
| US model (GFS) | 38° | 32° | 98% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 37° | 32° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 38° | 34° | 100% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 35° | 30° | 100% |
| The average | 37° | 31° | 94% |
High 39° Low 31° Rain 23%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 60 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 40° | 31° | 13% |
| US model (GFS) | 38° | 32° | 13% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 38° | 30° | 13% |
| German model (ICON) | 40° | 32° | 8% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 40° | 30° | 68% |
| The average | 39° | 31° | 23% |
High 41° Low 33° Rain 10%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 18 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 43° | 27° | 8% |
| US model (GFS) | 38° | 32° | 13% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 41° | 35° | 6% |
| German model (ICON) | 41° | 35° | 3% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 40° | 35° | 21% |
| The average | 41° | 33° | 10% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.