Minority Report

Scobey, MT — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Daniels County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 44°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—31°0%
US model (GFS)44°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)43°33°0%
German model (ICON)43°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°36°0%
The average44°34°0%

Friday, November 13

High 46°   Low 32°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 9°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°32°0%
US model (GFS)41°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)46°32°0%
German model (ICON)46°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)49°34°0%
The average46°32°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 50°   Low 33°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°30°0%
US model (GFS)52°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)49°33°0%
German model (ICON)48°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)52°34°0%
The average50°33°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 54°   Low 31°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°32°0%
US model (GFS)56°39°0%
European model (ECMWF)51°31°0%
German model (ICON)55°28°0%
Canadian model (GEM)55°26°0%
The average54°31°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.