Minority Report

Scott City, KS — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Scott County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 64°   Low 36°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—33°0%
US model (GFS)64°36°0%
European model (ECMWF)62°39°0%
German model (ICON)64°38°0%
Canadian model (GEM)65°36°0%
The average64°36°0%

Friday, November 13

High 55°   Low 33°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 4 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°33°4%
US model (GFS)55°35°0%
European model (ECMWF)55°37°0%
German model (ICON)51°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)57°30°0%
The average55°33°1%

Saturday, November 14

High 48°   Low 35°   Rain 74%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 9°, rain spread 30 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 54% against a group average of 74%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°34°75%
US model (GFS)52°32°75%
European model (ECMWF)48°38°84%
German model (ICON)48°36°54%
Canadian model (GEM)43°36°81%
The average48°35°74%

Sunday, November 15

High 45°   Low 38°   Rain 70%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 77 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 19% against a group average of 70%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°33°19%
US model (GFS)42°40°75%
European model (ECMWF)47°40°96%
German model (ICON)44°39°68%
Canadian model (GEM)44°38°91%
The average45°38°70%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.