Minority Report

Scottsburg, IN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Scott County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 54°   Low 41°   Rain 58%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 72 points, 3 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 20% against a group average of 58%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—39°20%
US model (GFS)55°40°43%
European model (ECMWF)54°44°92%
Canadian model (GEM)54°40°76%
The average54°41°58%

Friday, November 13

High 46°   Low 34°   Rain 42%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 49 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 69% against a group average of 42%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°31°42%
US model (GFS)46°34°20%
European model (ECMWF)46°37°69%
Canadian model (GEM)46°36°39%
The average46°34°42%

Saturday, November 14

High 48°   Low 29°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 2 points, 4 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°28°0%
US model (GFS)49°29°2%
European model (ECMWF)47°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°26°0%
The average48°29°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 50°   Low 28°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°29°0%
US model (GFS)52°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)48°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°20°0%
The average50°28°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.