Minority Report

Scottsville, KY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Allen County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 57°   Low 39°   Rain 27%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 48 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 2% against a group average of 27%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—35°2%
US model (GFS)57°40°16%
European model (ECMWF)57°40°49%
German model (ICON)57°40°50%
Canadian model (GEM)57°40°19%
The average57°39°27%

Friday, November 13

High 44°   Low 34°   Rain 9%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 14 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°30°16%
US model (GFS)41°33°2%
European model (ECMWF)45°36°12%
German model (ICON)45°34°5%
Canadian model (GEM)46°35°10%
The average44°34°9%

Saturday, November 14

High 49°   Low 29°   Rain 2%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 5 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°28°0%
US model (GFS)48°32°1%
European model (ECMWF)48°31°0%
German model (ICON)50°31°3%
Canadian model (GEM)49°25°5%
The average49°29°2%

Sunday, November 15

High 52°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°30°0%
US model (GFS)52°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)50°32°0%
German model (ICON)54°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)51°20°0%
The average52°30°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.