Minority Report

Scranton, PA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Lackawanna County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 51°   Low 39°   Rain 100%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—32°100%
US model (GFS)49°41°100%
European model (ECMWF)50°41°100%
German model (ICON)51°41°100%
Canadian model (GEM)55°38°100%
The average51°39°100%

Friday, November 13

High 41°   Low 33°   Rain 95%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 17 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 83% against a group average of 95%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°28°93%
US model (GFS)41°33°83%
European model (ECMWF)41°34°100%
German model (ICON)41°35°100%
Canadian model (GEM)38°35°100%
The average41°33°95%

Saturday, November 14

High 40°   Low 33°   Rain 26%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 29 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 10% against a group average of 26%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°31°17%
US model (GFS)38°32°10%
European model (ECMWF)40°32°39%
German model (ICON)40°34°34%
Canadian model (GEM)39°34°29%
The average40°33°26%

Sunday, November 15

High 43°   Low 35°   Rain 23%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 18 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 35% against a group average of 23%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°32°17%
US model (GFS)41°35°17%
European model (ECMWF)43°36°35%
German model (ICON)42°36°23%
Canadian model (GEM)42°35°25%
The average43°35°23%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.