Minority Report

Seattle, WA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of King County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 60°   Low 51°   Rain 9%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 33 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 33% against a group average of 9%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service61°52°33%
US model (GFS)59°50°2%
German model (ICON)59°52°0%
Canadian model (GEM)60°52°0%
The average60°51°9%

Friday, November 13

High 56°   Low 49°   Rain 70%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 14 points, 4 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service59°50°77%
US model (GFS)55°48°63%
German model (ICON)54°50°70%
Canadian model (GEM)56°51°71%
The average56°49°70%

Saturday, November 14

High 57°   Low 49°   Rain 87%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 32 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 67% against a group average of 87%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service57°51°99%
US model (GFS)56°47°92%
German model (ICON)55°50°91%
Canadian model (GEM)58°49°67%
The average57°49°87%

Sunday, November 15

High 54°   Low 47°   Rain 98%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 8 points, 4 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°47°99%
US model (GFS)54°48°92%
German model (ICON)54°46°100%
Canadian model (GEM)55°46°100%
The average54°47°98%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.