Sebastian County, AR — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Sebastian County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 67° Low 43° Rain 0%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 34° | 1% |
| US model (GFS) | 68° | 45° | 1% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 66° | 47° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 67° | 45° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 67° | 43° | 0% |
| The average | 67° | 43° | 0% |
High 56° Low 34° Rain 0%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 56° | 31° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 55° | 37° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 55° | 39° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 56° | 31° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 57° | 33° | 0% |
| The average | 56° | 34° | 0% |
High 55° Low 33° Rain 2%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 9 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 55° | 37° | 9% |
| US model (GFS) | 58° | 30° | 1% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 53° | 36° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 56° | 30° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 55° | 30° | 0% |
| The average | 55° | 33° | 2% |
High 51° Low 41° Rain 51%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 11°, rain spread 29 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 50° | 37° | 43% |
| US model (GFS) | 57° | 40° | 42% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 51° | 43° | 49% |
| German model (ICON) | 46° | 40° | 48% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 49° | 42° | 71% |
| The average | 51° | 41° | 51% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.