Minority Report

Sebring, FL — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Highlands County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 76°   Low 67°   Rain 24%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 50 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 55% against a group average of 24%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—64°20%
US model (GFS)76°68°17%
European model (ECMWF)75°66°55%
German model (ICON)76°67°23%
Canadian model (GEM)77°68°5%
The average76°67°24%

Friday, November 13

High 72°   Low 55°   Rain 7%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 26 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 26% against a group average of 7%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service74°49°1%
US model (GFS)72°57°26%
European model (ECMWF)72°60°8%
German model (ICON)71°55°0%
Canadian model (GEM)72°54°0%
The average72°55°7%

Saturday, November 14

High 64°   Low 48°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service65°46°0%
US model (GFS)64°48°0%
European model (ECMWF)64°50°0%
German model (ICON)63°47°0%
Canadian model (GEM)64°47°0%
The average64°48°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 73°   Low 51°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service74°57°1%
US model (GFS)72°51°1%
European model (ECMWF)72°51°0%
German model (ICON)72°48°0%
Canadian model (GEM)75°47°0%
The average73°51°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.