Minority Report

Sedan, KS — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Chautauqua County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 61°   Low 38°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—33°0%
US model (GFS)62°40°0%
European model (ECMWF)60°41°0%
German model (ICON)61°36°0%
Canadian model (GEM)62°40°0%
The average61°38°0%

Friday, November 13

High 51°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°29°0%
US model (GFS)50°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)50°34°0%
German model (ICON)51°26°0%
Canadian model (GEM)51°28°0%
The average51°30°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 54°   Low 30°   Rain 6%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 11 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°38°13%
US model (GFS)54°31°2%
European model (ECMWF)52°32°3%
German model (ICON)55°26°7%
Canadian model (GEM)54°24°5%
The average54°30°6%

Sunday, November 15

High 48°   Low 39°   Rain 36%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 54 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 72% against a group average of 36%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°36°35%
US model (GFS)46°42°29%
European model (ECMWF)50°38°24%
German model (ICON)49°40°18%
Canadian model (GEM)44°39°72%
The average48°39°36%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.