Minority Report

Seguin, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Guadalupe County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 77°   Low 54°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—50°0%
US model (GFS)78°58°0%
European model (ECMWF)76°56°0%
German model (ICON)76°56°0%
Canadian model (GEM)78°51°0%
The average77°54°0%

Friday, November 13

High 77°   Low 50°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service76°50°0%
US model (GFS)78°52°0%
European model (ECMWF)77°52°0%
German model (ICON)77°51°0%
Canadian model (GEM)79°47°0%
The average77°50°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 71°   Low 53°   Rain 67%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 12°, rain spread 36 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 48% against a group average of 67%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service70°56°60%
US model (GFS)68°54°48%
European model (ECMWF)72°54°84%
German model (ICON)67°54°76%
Canadian model (GEM)78°47°68%
The average71°53°67%

Sunday, November 15

High 71°   Low 55°   Rain 80%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 10°, rain spread 40 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 56% against a group average of 80%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service69°52°76%
US model (GFS)77°58°56%
European model (ECMWF)68°55°96%
German model (ICON)67°55°84%
Canadian model (GEM)72°55°90%
The average71°55°80%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.