Minority Report

Selmer, TN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of McNairy County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 64°   Low 40°   Rain 2%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 7 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—30°0%
US model (GFS)64°42°7%
European model (ECMWF)64°43°4%
German model (ICON)63°41°0%
Canadian model (GEM)63°42°0%
The average64°40°2%

Friday, November 13

High 49°   Low 33°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°28°0%
US model (GFS)48°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)49°38°0%
German model (ICON)51°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)49°34°0%
The average49°33°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 52°   Low 29°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°27°0%
US model (GFS)51°30°0%
European model (ECMWF)51°34°0%
German model (ICON)53°26°0%
Canadian model (GEM)52°29°0%
The average52°29°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 55°   Low 32°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°31°2%
US model (GFS)55°35°1%
European model (ECMWF)55°34°2%
German model (ICON)58°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)54°27°0%
The average55°32°1%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.