Minority Report

Seminole, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Gaines County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 70°   Low 42°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—45°0%
US model (GFS)71°42°0%
European model (ECMWF)69°40°0%
German model (ICON)70°42°0%
Canadian model (GEM)72°42°0%
The average70°42°0%

Friday, November 13

High 69°   Low 43°   Rain 38%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 39 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 18% against a group average of 38%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service68°49°57%
US model (GFS)70°42°18%
European model (ECMWF)68°43°49%
German model (ICON)67°42°20%
Canadian model (GEM)70°39°47%
The average69°43°38%

Saturday, November 14

High 66°   Low 50°   Rain 73%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 63 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 37% against a group average of 73%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service65°48°37%
US model (GFS)67°50°69%
European model (ECMWF)66°51°100%
German model (ICON)66°52°68%
Canadian model (GEM)66°51°90%
The average66°50°73%

Sunday, November 15

High 60°   Low 45°   Rain 7%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 11°, rain spread 9 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service61°42°1%
US model (GFS)65°50°8%
European model (ECMWF)55°46°8%
German model (ICON)61°48°10%
Canadian model (GEM)60°38°10%
The average60°45°7%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.