Minority Report

Seymour, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Baylor County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 77°   Low 46°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—47°0%
US model (GFS)77°45°0%
European model (ECMWF)76°48°0%
German model (ICON)77°48°0%
Canadian model (GEM)77°43°0%
The average77°46°0%

Friday, November 13

High 65°   Low 47°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service65°47°0%
US model (GFS)66°50°0%
European model (ECMWF)65°48°0%
German model (ICON)62°46°0%
Canadian model (GEM)67°43°0%
The average65°47°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 58°   Low 46°   Rain 88%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 9°, rain spread 23 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 100% against a group average of 88%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service60°48°93%
US model (GFS)64°43°84%
European model (ECMWF)55°48°100%
German model (ICON)55°47°85%
Canadian model (GEM)58°45°77%
The average58°46°88%

Sunday, November 15

High 56°   Low 44°   Rain 87%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 17°, rain spread 30 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 68% against a group average of 87%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service57°43°68%
US model (GFS)66°46°84%
European model (ECMWF)53°46°98%
German model (ICON)49°45°95%
Canadian model (GEM)53°42°90%
The average56°44°87%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.