Minority Report

Sharon Springs, KS — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Wallace County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 66°   Low 36°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—34°0%
US model (GFS)67°35°0%
European model (ECMWF)65°40°0%
German model (ICON)66°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)68°37°0%
The average66°36°0%

Friday, November 13

High 56°   Low 35°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°34°1%
US model (GFS)56°36°0%
European model (ECMWF)56°37°0%
German model (ICON)54°36°0%
Canadian model (GEM)60°33°0%
The average56°35°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 48°   Low 36°   Rain 73%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 30 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 90% against a group average of 73%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°34°65%
US model (GFS)50°31°72%
European model (ECMWF)49°39°80%
German model (ICON)49°37°60%
Canadian model (GEM)43°38°90%
The average48°36°73%

Sunday, November 15

High 45°   Low 37°   Rain 55%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 79 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 11% against a group average of 55%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°33°11%
US model (GFS)43°40°39%
European model (ECMWF)47°39°80%
German model (ICON)42°39°57%
Canadian model (GEM)46°34°90%
The average45°37°55%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.