Minority Report

Shawneetown, IL — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Gallatin County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 56°   Low 36°   Rain 10%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 16 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—34°2%
US model (GFS)55°36°5%
European model (ECMWF)57°40°16%
German model (ICON)56°35°18%
Canadian model (GEM)57°36°10%
The average56°36°10%

Friday, November 13

High 46°   Low 32°   Rain 3%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 11 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°27°11%
US model (GFS)43°34°1%
European model (ECMWF)46°38°0%
German model (ICON)48°30°3%
Canadian model (GEM)46°33°0%
The average46°32°3%

Saturday, November 14

High 50°   Low 28°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°26°0%
US model (GFS)50°30°0%
European model (ECMWF)49°31°0%
German model (ICON)50°27°0%
Canadian model (GEM)49°26°0%
The average50°28°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 53°   Low 28°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°28°0%
US model (GFS)54°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)52°32°0%
German model (ICON)54°27°0%
Canadian model (GEM)51°21°0%
The average53°28°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.