Minority Report

Shelby, MT — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Toole County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 61°   Low 36°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—32°0%
US model (GFS)58°36°0%
European model (ECMWF)62°38°0%
German model (ICON)63°39°0%
Canadian model (GEM)59°36°0%
The average61°36°0%

Friday, November 13

High 56°   Low 32°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service59°31°0%
US model (GFS)57°30°0%
European model (ECMWF)57°33°0%
German model (ICON)55°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)53°31°0%
The average56°32°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 57°   Low 31°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service58°31°0%
US model (GFS)58°31°0%
European model (ECMWF)59°32°0%
German model (ICON)56°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)56°26°0%
The average57°31°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 56°   Low 33°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°33°0%
US model (GFS)55°42°0%
European model (ECMWF)57°33°0%
German model (ICON)56°35°0%
Canadian model (GEM)58°22°0%
The average56°33°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.