Minority Report

Shelby, NC — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Cleveland County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 66°   Low 42°   Rain 16%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 35 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 36% against a group average of 16%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—37°1%
US model (GFS)66°45°36%
European model (ECMWF)66°48°16%
German model (ICON)66°40°18%
Canadian model (GEM)67°42°10%
The average66°42°16%

Friday, November 13

High 54°   Low 37°   Rain 2%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°32°1%
US model (GFS)52°39°3%
European model (ECMWF)53°42°2%
German model (ICON)54°34°3%
Canadian model (GEM)54°37°0%
The average54°37°2%

Saturday, November 14

High 51°   Low 32°   Rain 1%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°28°0%
US model (GFS)51°35°3%
European model (ECMWF)51°38°0%
German model (ICON)51°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)52°30°0%
The average51°32°1%

Sunday, November 15

High 55°   Low 28°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°31°0%
US model (GFS)54°31°0%
European model (ECMWF)53°33°0%
German model (ICON)56°24°0%
Canadian model (GEM)55°22°0%
The average55°28°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.