Shelbyville, IN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Shelby County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 50° Low 39° Rain 46%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 39 points, 3 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 36° | 31% |
| US model (GFS) | 50° | 39° | 28% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 52° | 41° | 59% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 49° | 38° | 67% |
| The average | 50° | 39° | 46% |
High 43° Low 34° Rain 28%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 23 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 44° | 30° | 26% |
| US model (GFS) | 42° | 32° | 16% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 46° | 36° | 39% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 42° | 36° | 30% |
| The average | 43° | 34° | 28% |
High 46° Low 30° Rain 1%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 2 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 46° | 31° | 1% |
| US model (GFS) | 46° | 31° | 2% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 44° | 32° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 47° | 26° | 2% |
| The average | 46° | 30° | 1% |
High 49° Low 31° Rain 0%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 50° | 30° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 50° | 36° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 47° | 34° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 48° | 24° | 0% |
| The average | 49° | 31° | 0% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.