Minority Report

Shelbyville, MO — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Shelby County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 47°   Low 33°   Rain 1%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 5 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—30°0%
US model (GFS)47°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)48°40°0%
German model (ICON)47°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)46°30°5%
The average47°33°1%

Friday, November 13

High 42°   Low 26°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°22°0%
US model (GFS)41°26°0%
European model (ECMWF)41°30°0%
German model (ICON)43°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)42°23°0%
The average42°26°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 46°   Low 24°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°25°0%
US model (GFS)47°23°0%
European model (ECMWF)44°27°0%
German model (ICON)47°26°0%
Canadian model (GEM)45°18°0%
The average46°24°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 50°   Low 27°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°27°0%
US model (GFS)52°31°0%
European model (ECMWF)50°29°0%
German model (ICON)52°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°16°0%
The average50°27°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.