Minority Report

Shelbyville, TN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Bedford County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 60°   Low 39°   Rain 30%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 65 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 65% against a group average of 30%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—28°0%
US model (GFS)60°41°5%
European model (ECMWF)60°43°65%
German model (ICON)60°42°23%
Canadian model (GEM)61°41°57%
The average60°39°30%

Friday, November 13

High 47°   Low 32°   Rain 2%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 10 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°26°1%
US model (GFS)42°32°1%
European model (ECMWF)47°37°0%
German model (ICON)49°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)47°30°10%
The average47°32°2%

Saturday, November 14

High 50°   Low 29°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°24°0%
US model (GFS)50°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)49°33°0%
German model (ICON)51°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)50°25°0%
The average50°29°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 54°   Low 28°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°27°1%
US model (GFS)53°33°1%
European model (ECMWF)52°31°0%
German model (ICON)55°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)53°19°0%
The average54°28°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.