Shell Lake, WI — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Washburn County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 36° Low 28° Rain 27%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 78 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 23° | 4% |
| US model (GFS) | 36° | 26° | 8% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 35° | 32° | 82% |
| German model (ICON) | 35° | 28° | 15% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 39° | 32° | 24% |
| The average | 36° | 28° | 27% |
High 36° Low 25° Rain 1%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 38° | 21° | 2% |
| US model (GFS) | 34° | 26° | 1% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 34° | 27° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 36° | 26° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 36° | 22° | 0% |
| The average | 36° | 25° | 1% |
High 40° Low 25° Rain 0%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 41° | 24° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 41° | 26° | 1% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 40° | 26° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 41° | 26° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 38° | 25° | 0% |
| The average | 40° | 25° | 0% |
High 45° Low 26° Rain 0%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 44° | 26° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 45° | 28° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 45° | 28° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 45° | 27° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 44° | 22° | 0% |
| The average | 45° | 26° | 0% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.