Minority Report

Shelton, WA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Mason County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 58°   Low 49°   Rain 20%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 65 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 65% against a group average of 20%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service60°48°65%
US model (GFS)59°50°6%
German model (ICON)57°50°10%
Canadian model (GEM)57°48°0%
The average58°49°20%

Friday, November 13

High 55°   Low 48°   Rain 78%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 39 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 97% against a group average of 78%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°46°97%
US model (GFS)55°49°58%
German model (ICON)55°49°88%
Canadian model (GEM)54°48°67%
The average55°48°78%

Saturday, November 14

High 54°   Low 47°   Rain 99%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 5 points, 4 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°47°100%
US model (GFS)54°48°100%
German model (ICON)54°47°100%
Canadian model (GEM)55°48°95%
The average54°47°99%

Sunday, November 15

High 54°   Low 44°   Rain 100%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°40°99%
US model (GFS)55°44°100%
German model (ICON)54°45°100%
Canadian model (GEM)54°46°100%
The average54°44°100%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.