Minority Report

Shepherdsville, KY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Bullitt County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 56°   Low 41°   Rain 55%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 76 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 17% against a group average of 55%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—38°17%
US model (GFS)57°40°27%
European model (ECMWF)55°44°93%
German model (ICON)56°42°73%
Canadian model (GEM)56°41°67%
The average56°41°55%

Friday, November 13

High 47°   Low 36°   Rain 46%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 65 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 85% against a group average of 46%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°30°45%
US model (GFS)47°35°20%
European model (ECMWF)47°39°85%
German model (ICON)47°37°43%
Canadian model (GEM)48°38°39%
The average47°36°46%

Saturday, November 14

High 49°   Low 31°   Rain 3%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 8 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°27°0%
US model (GFS)50°32°2%
European model (ECMWF)49°32°3%
German model (ICON)48°33°8%
Canadian model (GEM)48°29°1%
The average49°31°3%

Sunday, November 15

High 52°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°29°0%
US model (GFS)53°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)50°33°0%
German model (ICON)54°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)50°22°0%
The average52°30°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.