Minority Report

Sheridan, AR — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Grant County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 70°   Low 45°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—33°0%
US model (GFS)71°48°0%
European model (ECMWF)70°50°0%
German model (ICON)68°44°0%
Canadian model (GEM)70°50°0%
The average70°45°0%

Friday, November 13

High 55°   Low 35°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°29°0%
US model (GFS)55°37°0%
European model (ECMWF)55°39°0%
German model (ICON)55°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)58°40°0%
The average55°35°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 54°   Low 32°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°32°1%
US model (GFS)56°30°0%
European model (ECMWF)53°35°0%
German model (ICON)54°28°0%
Canadian model (GEM)53°34°0%
The average54°32°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 55°   Low 38°   Rain 32%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 30 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 50% against a group average of 32%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°35°26%
US model (GFS)58°42°20%
European model (ECMWF)55°38°40%
German model (ICON)57°34°50%
Canadian model (GEM)56°40°26%
The average55°38°32%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.