Minority Report

Sherman, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Grayson County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 74°   Low 48°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—46°1%
US model (GFS)77°49°0%
European model (ECMWF)71°51°0%
German model (ICON)75°46°0%
Canadian model (GEM)75°47°0%
The average74°48°0%

Friday, November 13

High 63°   Low 45°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service64°44°1%
US model (GFS)64°48°0%
European model (ECMWF)60°47°0%
German model (ICON)64°45°0%
Canadian model (GEM)65°44°0%
The average63°45°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 60°   Low 43°   Rain 50%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 54 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 16% against a group average of 50%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service61°44°66%
US model (GFS)61°41°30%
European model (ECMWF)58°43°70%
German model (ICON)58°43°67%
Canadian model (GEM)60°42°16%
The average60°43°50%

Sunday, November 15

High 49°   Low 42°   Rain 95%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 14 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°43°92%
US model (GFS)52°40°86%
European model (ECMWF)46°43°99%
German model (ICON)46°42°99%
Canadian model (GEM)51°40°100%
The average49°42°95%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.