Minority Report

Sidney, OH — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Shelby County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 50°   Low 40°   Rain 88%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 37 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 63% against a group average of 88%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—36°86%
US model (GFS)48°41°63%
European model (ECMWF)51°41°100%
German model (ICON)51°41°93%
Canadian model (GEM)48°39°100%
The average50°40°88%

Friday, November 13

High 41°   Low 33°   Rain 61%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 67 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 96% against a group average of 61%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service40°28°29%
US model (GFS)41°32°37%
European model (ECMWF)42°37°87%
German model (ICON)42°34°55%
Canadian model (GEM)40°34°96%
The average41°33°61%

Saturday, November 14

High 43°   Low 30°   Rain 3%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 8 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°34°3%
US model (GFS)42°31°2%
European model (ECMWF)44°28°0%
German model (ICON)44°29°3%
Canadian model (GEM)41°26°8%
The average43°30°3%

Sunday, November 15

High 45°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°32°0%
US model (GFS)46°38°0%
European model (ECMWF)45°37°2%
German model (ICON)48°37°0%
Canadian model (GEM)43°28°0%
The average45°34°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.