Minority Report

Sierra Blanca, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Hudspeth County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 67°   Low 43°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—46°0%
US model (GFS)66°44°0%
European model (ECMWF)66°44°0%
German model (ICON)68°45°0%
Canadian model (GEM)69°38°0%
The average67°43°0%

Friday, November 13

High 68°   Low 45°   Rain 84%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 28 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 99% against a group average of 84%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service68°47°90%
US model (GFS)68°44°81%
European model (ECMWF)68°47°99%
German model (ICON)66°47°80%
Canadian model (GEM)69°40°71%
The average68°45°84%

Saturday, November 14

High 62°   Low 46°   Rain 33%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 72 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 74% against a group average of 33%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service63°46°2%
US model (GFS)63°46°11%
European model (ECMWF)59°46°74%
German model (ICON)61°49°33%
Canadian model (GEM)63°41°43%
The average62°46°33%

Sunday, November 15

High 62°   Low 44°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service62°42°0%
US model (GFS)62°49°0%
European model (ECMWF)61°44°0%
German model (ICON)61°46°0%
Canadian model (GEM)63°40°0%
The average62°44°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.