Minority Report

Silver City, NM — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Grant County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 62°   Low 41°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—42°1%
US model (GFS)62°40°0%
European model (ECMWF)62°42°0%
German model (ICON)62°43°0%
Canadian model (GEM)63°39°0%
The average62°41°0%

Friday, November 13

High 59°   Low 42°   Rain 68%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 50 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 40% against a group average of 68%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service60°41°50%
US model (GFS)61°42°40%
European model (ECMWF)56°42°82%
German model (ICON)58°45°78%
Canadian model (GEM)60°40°90%
The average59°42°68%

Saturday, November 14

High 53°   Low 41°   Rain 40%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 78 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 88% against a group average of 40%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°37°20%
US model (GFS)52°43°10%
European model (ECMWF)52°42°42%
German model (ICON)52°43°40%
Canadian model (GEM)54°38°88%
The average53°41°40%

Sunday, November 15

High 56°   Low 36°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service57°36°0%
US model (GFS)55°39°0%
European model (ECMWF)56°37°0%
German model (ICON)56°39°0%
Canadian model (GEM)57°28°0%
The average56°36°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.