Minority Report

Silverton, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Briscoe County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 72°   Low 42°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—39°0%
US model (GFS)73°40°0%
European model (ECMWF)73°45°0%
German model (ICON)72°45°0%
Canadian model (GEM)72°40°0%
The average72°42°0%

Friday, November 13

High 58°   Low 40°   Rain 1%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 9°, rain spread 6 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service59°38°6%
US model (GFS)62°42°0%
European model (ECMWF)58°42°0%
German model (ICON)53°42°0%
Canadian model (GEM)58°38°0%
The average58°40°1%

Saturday, November 14

High 49°   Low 40°   Rain 88%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 14°, rain spread 19 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 98% against a group average of 88%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°40°79%
US model (GFS)59°39°87%
European model (ECMWF)45°42°98%
German model (ICON)46°42°85%
Canadian model (GEM)45°37°90%
The average49°40°88%

Sunday, November 15

High 48°   Low 39°   Rain 65%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 9°, rain spread 73 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 15% against a group average of 65%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°35°15%
US model (GFS)53°42°87%
European model (ECMWF)44°40°88%
German model (ICON)46°41°70%
Canadian model (GEM)46°38°67%
The average48°39°65%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.