Minority Report

Sinton, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of San Patricio County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 77°   Low 56°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—52°0%
US model (GFS)76°60°0%
European model (ECMWF)79°58°0%
German model (ICON)78°58°0%
Canadian model (GEM)77°52°0%
The average77°56°0%

Friday, November 13

High 77°   Low 53°   Rain 2%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 9 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service75°58°9%
US model (GFS)74°54°0%
European model (ECMWF)78°54°0%
German model (ICON)77°54°0%
Canadian model (GEM)78°46°0%
The average77°53°2%

Saturday, November 14

High 77°   Low 61°   Rain 44%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 9°, rain spread 37 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 23% against a group average of 44%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service74°65°23%
US model (GFS)72°58°60%
European model (ECMWF)78°63°49%
German model (ICON)77°62°60%
Canadian model (GEM)81°58°30%
The average77°61°44%

Sunday, November 15

High 79°   Low 64°   Rain 69%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 39 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 90% against a group average of 69%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service77°59°71%
US model (GFS)78°68°51%
European model (ECMWF)80°61°90%
German model (ICON)77°65°65%
Canadian model (GEM)85°68°70%
The average79°64°69%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.