Minority Report

Sioux City, IA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Woodbury County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 43°   Low 28°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—22°0%
US model (GFS)43°30°0%
European model (ECMWF)43°33°0%
German model (ICON)43°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)44°27°0%
The average43°28°0%

Friday, November 13

High 41°   Low 24°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°21°0%
US model (GFS)37°30°0%
European model (ECMWF)42°27°0%
German model (ICON)41°25°0%
Canadian model (GEM)43°20°0%
The average41°24°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 43°   Low 25°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°27°0%
US model (GFS)45°28°0%
European model (ECMWF)44°27°0%
German model (ICON)44°27°0%
Canadian model (GEM)41°17°0%
The average43°25°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 47°   Low 29°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 9°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°30°1%
US model (GFS)48°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)48°29°0%
German model (ICON)52°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)43°16°0%
The average47°29°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.