Minority Report

Siren, WI — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Burnett County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 38°   Low 28°   Rain 12%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 33 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 33% against a group average of 12%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—22°2%
US model (GFS)38°30°1%
European model (ECMWF)36°31°24%
German model (ICON)38°29°33%
Canadian model (GEM)40°29°0%
The average38°28°12%

Friday, November 13

High 37°   Low 25°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service38°20°1%
US model (GFS)35°30°0%
European model (ECMWF)37°28°0%
German model (ICON)37°27°0%
Canadian model (GEM)37°21°0%
The average37°25°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 41°   Low 24°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service41°23°0%
US model (GFS)43°28°0%
European model (ECMWF)40°26°0%
German model (ICON)41°24°0%
Canadian model (GEM)39°20°0%
The average41°24°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 45°   Low 25°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°26°0%
US model (GFS)47°29°0%
European model (ECMWF)45°29°0%
German model (ICON)47°28°0%
Canadian model (GEM)44°16°0%
The average45°25°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.