Minority Report

Sitka, AK — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Sitka City and Borough.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 45°   Low 40°   Rain 79%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 81 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 19% against a group average of 79%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°39°19%
US model (GFS)43°40°100%
European model (ECMWF)45°40°100%
German model (ICON)46°42°88%
Canadian model (GEM)45°39°90%
The average45°40°79%

Friday, November 13

High 47°   Low 42°   Rain 80%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 54 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 44% against a group average of 80%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°42°44%
US model (GFS)43°40°93%
European model (ECMWF)48°42°98%
German model (ICON)50°45°85%
Canadian model (GEM)46°39°81%
The average47°42°80%

Saturday, November 14

High 50°   Low 45°   Rain 91%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 21 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 78% against a group average of 91%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°41°78%
US model (GFS)45°41°94%
European model (ECMWF)50°46°99%
German model (ICON)52°49°91%
Canadian model (GEM)52°46°92%
The average50°45°91%

Sunday, November 15

High 50°   Low 43°   Rain 96%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 10 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°41°100%
US model (GFS)46°41°90%
European model (ECMWF)50°42°100%
German model (ICON)52°43°95%
Canadian model (GEM)53°46°97%
The average50°43°96%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.