Minority Report

Skagway Municipality, AK — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Skagway Municipality.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 42°   Low 31°   Rain 81%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 62 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 38% against a group average of 81%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°30°38%
US model (GFS)41°28°97%
European model (ECMWF)41°26°100%
German model (ICON)41°38°70%
Canadian model (GEM)40°30°100%
The average42°31°81%

Friday, November 13

High 40°   Low 32°   Rain 69%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 66 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 34% against a group average of 69%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service42°37°52%
US model (GFS)38°30°34%
European model (ECMWF)40°28°100%
German model (ICON)41°38°70%
Canadian model (GEM)38°29°88%
The average40°32°69%

Saturday, November 14

High 43°   Low 36°   Rain 78%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 51 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 49% against a group average of 78%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°35°49%
US model (GFS)39°31°77%
European model (ECMWF)43°36°100%
German model (ICON)45°40°75%
Canadian model (GEM)40°35°90%
The average43°36°78%

Sunday, November 15

High 43°   Low 37°   Rain 64%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 54 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 93% against a group average of 64%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°39°54%
US model (GFS)42°31°39%
European model (ECMWF)41°38°93%
German model (ICON)45°42°69%
Canadian model (GEM)39°36°67%
The average43°37°64%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.