Smethport, PA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of McKean County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 44° Low 33° Rain 85%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 51 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 27° | 49% |
| US model (GFS) | 43° | 34° | 84% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 45° | 35° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 44° | 35° | 93% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 44° | 35° | 100% |
| The average | 44° | 33° | 85% |
High 36° Low 31° Rain 55%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 76 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 37° | 28° | 30% |
| US model (GFS) | 35° | 32° | 16% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 37° | 32° | 92% |
| German model (ICON) | 35° | 32° | 68% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 35° | 32° | 67% |
| The average | 36° | 31° | 55% |
High 39° Low 31° Rain 52%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 50 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 39° | 29° | 47% |
| US model (GFS) | 38° | 32° | 36% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 41° | 32° | 42% |
| German model (ICON) | 38° | 32° | 50% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 39° | 32° | 86% |
| The average | 39° | 31° | 52% |
High 39° Low 31° Rain 47%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 49 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 40° | 24° | 39% |
| US model (GFS) | 38° | 31° | 36% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 39° | 35° | 49% |
| German model (ICON) | 38° | 34° | 32% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 38° | 33° | 81% |
| The average | 39° | 31° | 47% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.