Smithville, TN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of DeKalb County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 59° Low 40° Rain 54%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 84 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 29° | 2% |
| US model (GFS) | 61° | 43° | 38% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 57° | 42° | 76% |
| German model (ICON) | 59° | 42° | 70% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 58° | 42° | 86% |
| The average | 59° | 40° | 54% |
High 45° Low 33° Rain 12%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 44 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 46° | 27° | 7% |
| US model (GFS) | 43° | 33° | 1% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 43° | 38° | 45% |
| German model (ICON) | 45° | 33° | 3% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 44° | 34° | 6% |
| The average | 45° | 33° | 12% |
High 48° Low 31° Rain 6%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 24 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 49° | 25° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 48° | 32° | 1% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 47° | 34° | 24% |
| German model (ICON) | 50° | 33° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 47° | 28° | 6% |
| The average | 48° | 31° | 6% |
High 52° Low 30° Rain 0%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 53° | 26° | 1% |
| US model (GFS) | 54° | 31° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 51° | 35° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 54° | 34° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 50° | 22° | 0% |
| The average | 52° | 30° | 0% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.