Minority Report

Sneedville, TN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Hancock County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 54°   Low 41°   Rain 80%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 71 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 29% against a group average of 80%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—34°29%
US model (GFS)53°42°71%
European model (ECMWF)56°43°100%
German model (ICON)54°45°100%
Canadian model (GEM)53°41°98%
The average54°41°80%

Friday, November 13

High 45°   Low 35°   Rain 53%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 61 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 95% against a group average of 53%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°29°47%
US model (GFS)44°36°34%
European model (ECMWF)44°37°95%
German model (ICON)45°38°35%
Canadian model (GEM)43°36°52%
The average45°35°53%

Saturday, November 14

High 44°   Low 31°   Rain 5%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 14 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°26°0%
US model (GFS)44°32°3%
European model (ECMWF)44°31°2%
German model (ICON)44°35°5%
Canadian model (GEM)44°30°14%
The average44°31°5%

Sunday, November 15

High 50°   Low 28°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°26°0%
US model (GFS)47°30°0%
European model (ECMWF)50°28°0%
German model (ICON)50°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)51°23°0%
The average50°28°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.