Minority Report

Snow Hill, MD — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Worcester County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 68°   Low 48°   Rain 28%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 69 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 69% against a group average of 28%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—43°7%
US model (GFS)69°49°21%
European model (ECMWF)68°52°69%
German model (ICON)66°49°45%
Canadian model (GEM)68°48°0%
The average68°48°28%

Friday, November 13

High 50°   Low 38°   Rain 18%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 25 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 4% against a group average of 18%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°34°21%
US model (GFS)49°39°4%
European model (ECMWF)52°40°25%
German model (ICON)51°36°13%
Canadian model (GEM)48°39°29%
The average50°38°18%

Saturday, November 14

High 49°   Low 36°   Rain 12%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 25 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 27% against a group average of 12%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°35°2%
US model (GFS)50°38°4%
European model (ECMWF)48°38°12%
German model (ICON)49°33°13%
Canadian model (GEM)48°35°27%
The average49°36°12%

Sunday, November 15

High 51°   Low 37°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°33°0%
US model (GFS)50°40°0%
European model (ECMWF)52°40°0%
German model (ICON)51°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)51°38°0%
The average51°37°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.