Minority Report

Socorro, NM — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Socorro County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 67°   Low 38°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—36°0%
US model (GFS)68°37°0%
European model (ECMWF)66°48°0%
German model (ICON)66°38°0%
Canadian model (GEM)68°30°0%
The average67°38°0%

Friday, November 13

High 65°   Low 38°   Rain 34%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 46 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 65% against a group average of 34%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service65°41°30%
US model (GFS)68°39°25%
European model (ECMWF)66°48°65%
German model (ICON)64°36°30%
Canadian model (GEM)62°28°19%
The average65°38°34%

Saturday, November 14

High 61°   Low 41°   Rain 46%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 78 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 93% against a group average of 46%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service63°38°30%
US model (GFS)61°45°20%
European model (ECMWF)60°43°93%
German model (ICON)60°44°74%
Canadian model (GEM)60°37°15%
The average61°41°46%

Sunday, November 15

High 60°   Low 38°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service61°36°0%
US model (GFS)60°44°0%
European model (ECMWF)58°39°0%
German model (ICON)61°41°0%
Canadian model (GEM)59°30°0%
The average60°38°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.