Minority Report

Somerset, KY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Pulaski County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 56°   Low 41°   Rain 87%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 56 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 44% against a group average of 87%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—37°44%
US model (GFS)55°41°92%
European model (ECMWF)56°42°100%
German model (ICON)56°44°100%
Canadian model (GEM)56°42°100%
The average56°41°87%

Friday, November 13

High 43°   Low 35°   Rain 65%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 65 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 100% against a group average of 65%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°30°65%
US model (GFS)42°35°54%
European model (ECMWF)42°37°100%
German model (ICON)44°36°35%
Canadian model (GEM)42°35°71%
The average43°35°65%

Saturday, November 14

High 46°   Low 29°   Rain 10%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 20 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 0% against a group average of 10%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°27°0%
US model (GFS)47°32°2%
European model (ECMWF)45°30°11%
German model (ICON)46°32°20%
Canadian model (GEM)44°24°17%
The average46°29°10%

Sunday, November 15

High 50°   Low 29°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°26°0%
US model (GFS)50°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)49°34°0%
German model (ICON)53°35°0%
Canadian model (GEM)50°18°0%
The average50°29°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.