Minority Report

Somerset, PA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Somerset County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 47°   Low 35°   Rain 79%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 66 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 34% against a group average of 79%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—30°34%
US model (GFS)46°36°60%
European model (ECMWF)47°37°100%
German model (ICON)47°36°100%
Canadian model (GEM)49°37°100%
The average47°35°79%

Friday, November 13

High 37°   Low 30°   Rain 63%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 87 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 11% against a group average of 63%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service37°28°52%
US model (GFS)36°30°11%
European model (ECMWF)38°31°62%
German model (ICON)36°30°93%
Canadian model (GEM)38°32°98%
The average37°30°63%

Saturday, November 14

High 36°   Low 30°   Rain 69%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 26 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 55% against a group average of 69%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service37°30°71%
US model (GFS)34°30°58%
European model (ECMWF)35°30°78%
German model (ICON)36°30°55%
Canadian model (GEM)38°31°81%
The average36°30°69%

Sunday, November 15

High 38°   Low 31°   Rain 69%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 32 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 86% against a group average of 69%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service39°28°71%
US model (GFS)35°31°54%
European model (ECMWF)38°34°66%
German model (ICON)39°34°68%
Canadian model (GEM)38°31°86%
The average38°31°69%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.