Somerville, NJ — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Somerset County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
← All cities and the scoreboard
High 59° Low 44° Rain 95%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 14 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 35° | 86% |
| US model (GFS) | 60° | 48° | 87% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 60° | 48° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 57° | 47° | 100% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 60° | 43° | 100% |
| The average | 59° | 44° | 95% |
High 47° Low 34° Rain 98%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 7 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 46° | 30° | 97% |
| US model (GFS) | 48° | 36° | 93% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 48° | 35° | 98% |
| German model (ICON) | 47° | 38° | 100% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 47° | 33° | 100% |
| The average | 47° | 34° | 98% |
High 45° Low 33° Rain 25%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 47 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 48° | 31° | 1% |
| US model (GFS) | 44° | 34° | 31% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 46° | 32° | 7% |
| German model (ICON) | 46° | 34° | 48% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 44° | 32° | 38% |
| The average | 45° | 33° | 25% |
High 48° Low 36° Rain 0%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 50° | 31° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 47° | 38° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 48° | 37° | 2% |
| German model (ICON) | 48° | 36° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 47° | 35° | 0% |
| The average | 48° | 36° | 0% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.