Minority Report

Somerville, TN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Fayette County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 64°   Low 39°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—28°0%
US model (GFS)63°40°0%
European model (ECMWF)64°43°0%
German model (ICON)63°42°0%
Canadian model (GEM)65°43°0%
The average64°39°0%

Friday, November 13

High 50°   Low 31°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°26°0%
US model (GFS)48°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)49°36°0%
German model (ICON)50°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)50°31°0%
The average50°31°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 52°   Low 28°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°26°0%
US model (GFS)51°29°0%
European model (ECMWF)51°33°0%
German model (ICON)52°28°0%
Canadian model (GEM)52°24°0%
The average52°28°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 56°   Low 33°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 4 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°30°4%
US model (GFS)56°36°3%
European model (ECMWF)55°35°0%
German model (ICON)59°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)56°29°0%
The average56°33°1%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.